July 3rd, 2010 | Categories: Learnings

Charlie Munger’s USC Law School Commencement text on May 13th, 2007.

-Safest way to get what you want is to deserve what you want
-Wisdom acquisition is a moral duty
-Nothing has served me better in my long life than continuous learning
-What do you want to avoid to be a failure in life? Sloth and unreliability
-Avoid extremely intense ideology. I’m not entitled to have an opinion on a subject unless I can state the arguments against my position better than the people that support it
-Don’t overspend your income. Mozart became the most famous composer in the world, but was utterly miserable most of the time, and one of the reasons was he always overspent his income
-Envy, resentment, revenge, and self-pity are disastrous modes of thought
-Ben Franklin, “if you would persuade, appeal to interest not to reason”
-Perverse incentives and perverse associations are to be avoided. You particularly want to avoid working under somebody you really don’t admire and don’t want to be like
-If at all feasible, drift into something where you have an intense interest
-Have a lot of assiduity: “Persistent application or diligence; unflagging effort.”
-Life will deal heavy blows, but your duty is to utilize the terrible blow in a constructive fashion and not to submerge yourself in self-pity

July 3rd, 2010 | Categories: Learnings

Dyson is the guy behind the famous Dyson vacuum cleaner. His words of wisdom:

“An engineer’s life is 99% failure. So failure clearly doesn’t depress me. I think it has the reverse effect on me. You don’t learn from success, and your successes are few and far between. Failure is like a drug, actually. You go to work each day excited, because you know there are hundreds of problems there that you haven’t solved. It’s living on the edge, because you might come up with the solution or you might not.”

July 3rd, 2010 | Categories: Learnings

Abraham Lincoln failed in ways that would drive a normal person to suicide. But he kept pushing. He lost for state legislature at the age of 23, lost his girlfriend at 26, had a nervous breakdown at 27, and failed in business at 28. He was defeated for the speaker of the state legislature at 29 and for Congress at 34. He lost senatorial races at 45 and 49. Abraham Lincoln failed and failed and failed. And then - wham! - at 51, he was elected president of the United States! What would’ve happened to our country if he quit? - Source: Kathryn Wilson

July 1st, 2010 | Categories: Blog

Games: $823.5 million (-5%)
Hardware: $241.5 million (-20%)
Software: $466.3 million (+4%)
Accessories: $115.7 million (+3%)

HARDWARE SALES
DS: 383,700
Wii: 334,800
Xbox 360: 194,600
PlayStation 3: 154,500
PSP: 59,400

TOP 10 GAMES (by SKU)
Title / Platform / Publisher / Release Date / Units sold
1. Red Dead Redemption / X360 / Take-Two / May-10 / 945,900
2. Red Dead Redemption / PS3 / Take-Two / May-10 / 567,100
3. Super Mario Galaxy 2 / Wii / Nintendo / May-10 / 563,900
4. UFC 2010: Undisputed 2010 / X360 / THQ / May-10 / 221,100
5. UFC 2010: Undisputed 2010 / PS3 / THQ / May-10 / 192,300
6. Wii Fit Plus w/ Balance Board / Wii / Nintendo / Oct-09
7. New Super Mario Bros. Wii / Wii / Nintendo / Nov-09
8. Alan Wake / X360 / Microsoft / May-10
9. Pokemon SoulSilver / DS / Nintendo / Mar-10
10. Skate 3/ X360 / Capcom / May-10

May 13th, 2010 | Categories: Blog

OVERALL DOLLAR SALES
Total: $766.2 million (-26%)
Hardware: $249.3 million (-37%)
Software: $398.5 million (-22%)
Accessories: $118.4 million (-9%)

HARDWARE SALES
DS: 440,800
Wii: 277,200
Xbox 360: 185,400
PlayStation 3: 180,800
PSP: 65,500

TOP 10 GAMES (by SKU)
Title / Platform / Publisher / Release Date / Units sold (only provided for top five)
1. Splinter Cell: Conviction / 360 / Ubisoft / Apr-10 / 486,100
2. Pokemon SoulSilver / DS / Nintendo / Mar-10 / 242,900
3. New Super Mario Bros. / Wii / Nintendo / Nov-09 / 200,300
4. Pokemon HeartGold / DS / Nintendo / Mar-10 / 192,600
5. God of War III / PS3 / SCEA / Mar-10 / 180,300
6. Wii Sports Resort / Wii / Nintendo / Jul-09
7. Battlefield: Bad Company 2 / X360 / Electronic Arts / Mar-10
8. Wii Fit Plus w/ Balance Board / Wii / Nintendo / Oct-09
9. Just Dance / Wii / Ubisoft / Nov-09
10. Super Street Fighter IV / PS3 / Capcom / Apr-10

April 15th, 2010 | Categories: Blog

Games: $1.52 billion (+6%)
Hardware: $440.5 million (-4%)
Software: $875.3 million (+10%)
Accessories: $206.8 million (+11%)

HARDWARE SALES
DS: 700,800
Wii: 557,500
Xbox 360: 338,400
PlayStation 3: 313,900
PSP: 119,900
PlayStation 2: 118,300

TOP 10 GAMES (by SKU)
Title / Platform / Publisher / Release Date / Units sold
1. God of War III / PS3 / SCEA / Mar-10 / 1.1 million
2. Pokemon SoulSilver / DS / Nintendo / Mar-10 / 1.02 million
3. Final Fantasy XIII / PS3 / Square Enix / Mar-10 / 828,200
4. Battlefield: Bad Company 2 / X360 / Electronic Arts / Mar-10 / 825,500
5. Pokemon HeartGold / DS / Nintendo / Mar-10 / 761,200
6. Final Fantasy XIII / X360 / Square Enix / Mar-10 / 493,900
7. New Super Mario Bros. Wii / Nintendo / Nov-09 / 457,400
8. Battlefield: Bad Company 2 / PS3 / Electronic Arts / Mar-10 / 451,200
9. Wii Fit Plus w/ Balance Board / Wii / Nintendo / Oct-09 / 429,600
10. MLB 10: The Show / PS3 / SCEA / Mar-10 / 349,200

April 3rd, 2010 | Categories: Articles, Blog

I walked into my local Apple store around 3:30PM today. There was a line of 3-4 people waiting for the iPad demo station outside. It took about a 5 minute wait to get my hands on a store demo iPad. The store employees told me they were sold out of the 64GB model, but had plenty of the 16GB and 32GB SKUs in stock. This is good news for flash memory manufacturers like Sandisk as it looks like people are leaning toward using it as a media center for all their movies, music, and photos.

I got to play around with it for about 15-20 minutes. Here are my initial impressions.

Pros
-The screen is the BEST I have ever seen on a portable device, even better than the LED display on the MacBook Pro. Stunning clarity and colors. Steve Jobs made the right choice going with an IPS panel. This IS an amazing digital photo album device.
-The extra screen space makes huge difference over the iPhone in productivity apps such as the calendar and email. You can use a physical switch to lock in orientation, which is a great new feature.
-It’s fast. Felt like 50% faster than an iPhone.
-The Book reader app / store is as good as everyone says. Amazon should truly be worried about Kindle sales.

Cons
-It felt heavy after holding it a while. I recommend getting a case with a kick-stand because it is going to get tiresome holding it for long periods of time.
-iPhone apps do not look good on the bigger screen with ugly pixelation. Not a big deal as most widely used apps will be updated for the iPad.

Net-net
-I will probably buy the 3G version later this month.
-This is the ultimate web-surfing on the couch and digital media consumption device.
-It did seem like more people in the store were there to “check it out” than buy it. In my time there, I only saw one sale.

March 31st, 2010 | Categories: Earnings Notes

Press Release
-Revenue $4.08B ($4.31B est.), +18% y/y, 10.5M units shipped (11M CS est.)
-EPS 1.27 (1.28 est.), gross margin 45.7%
-4.9M net adds, 41 million subscribers, ASP $311 ($320 CS est.)
-$5.11 net cash/share

Guidance
-Q1 revenue $4.25-4.45B (4.33B est.), EPS 1.31-1.38 (1.23 est.)
-Q1 11.2-11.8M units, ASP $305-310, gross margin 44.5%
-Q2 will have similar ASP as Q1
-2H-FY margins will be in low 40s with higher ASPs due to product mix/new launches

Conference Call
-units lower than they guided last quarter (10.6-11.2M) due to “one-time” carrier inventory adjustment
-inventory at 4 weeks, will be even lower in Q1
-10M activations in the quarter
-”If you saw the roadmap, you’d be blown away”
-launching new products hurts gross margins initially

Net-net
-Pros: good guidance for next quarter, ASPs guided higher in back half of year with new products
-Cons: revenue deceleration 41% last quarter to 18% y/y, ASPs weakening for now, inventory adjustment issues even in Q1
-At $71 after-hours, $5.11 net cash + $5 EPS power = 13.2Xs EPS

Key Questions
-Competitive landscape getting tougher with new Android phones from HTC/Sprint, HTC/Google, and Motorola. June launch of new iPhone with possible front-facing camera and higher resolution screen
-Can the RIMM OS compete as Google’s “free” Android OS gets better and iPhone App eco-system continues to ramp?
-Will carriers balk at monthly revenue share model at some point vs. “free” competition?

March 11th, 2010 | Categories: Blog

Games $1.48 billion (-15%)
Hardware $534.2 million (-20%)
Software $736.7 million (-15%)
Accessories $206.1 million (-1%)

DS 613,200
Xbox 360 422,000
Wii 397,900
PlayStation 3 360,100
PSP 133,400
PlayStation 2 101,900

Title / Platform / Publisher / Release Date / Units sold
1. BioShock 2 / 360 / Take-Two / Feb-10 / 562,900
2. New Super Mario Bros. Wii / Wii / Nintendo / Nov-09 / 555,600
3. Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 / 360 / Activision / Nov-09 / 314,300
4. Just Dance / Wii / Ubisoft / Nov-09 / 275,400
5. Wii Sports Resort with Wii Motion Plus / Wii / Nintendo / Jul-09 / 272,500
6. Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 / PS3 / Activision / Nov-09 / 252,800
7. Mass Effect 2 / 360 / Electronic Arts / Jan-10 / 246,500
8. Dante’s Inferno: Divine Edition / PS3 / Electronic Arts / Feb-10 / 242,500
9. Dante’s Inferno / 360 / Electronic Arts / Feb-10 / 224,700
10. Heavy Rain / PS3 / Sony / Feb-10 / 219,300 /

February 21st, 2010 | Categories: Blog

-1990: 26 years old, paid $440,000 (all his money) to buy 25% of Mediagenic (Activision) bankrupt company. The company had rights to Joe Montana football, Myst, Infocom text games, Pitfall, River Raid, Kaboom, Mechwarrior
-first 2600 game was Kaboom, Pitball, River Raid, Activision hockey, Zork, Hitchhiker Guide’s to the Galaxy
-Bobby started a company in 1983 making Apple II software (game, word processor)
-was an EA developer for 4-5 years
-Mediagenic was making a word processor to compete with Microsoft
-he tried to acquire Commodore because of the Amiga (Amiga with CD player would be a great dedicated videogame system) with his best friend who had a hedge-fund and other wealthy investors. Tried for one year. Commodore CEO decided to compete with Sun Microsystems/workstations
-single dad with 3 daughters. I like to eat (addiction). Callouses from Defender. Play from time to time. If I was regularly playing games, I would not be able to stop
-marry personal interests with business opportunity in something you’re passionate about, very rare
-empowering people to do a great job. Make the resources available
-missed Maxis. Spent 1 day looking at SimCity 2000. Will Wright working a game called “Jefferson” (Sims), never went to look at it
-When buying Red Octane (Guitar Hero IP owner) and knew about Harmonix. Didn’t even go to Boston, it would of been better if they bought Harmonix
-mid-1990s Blizzard bought for $7 million. Bobby thought it was mind-boggling. 8-10 years later, Blizzard $700 million price with World of Warcraft in development. Merged when they were worth $7 billion
-Thinks the merger wouldn’t have worked earlier. It took them a lot of time to develop a culture that was respectful of the independent companies they worked with. Culture of partnership. Give resources and know when to stand back
-Only company he has seen, that has done this well to this point was Nintendo
-After 15 acquisitions, got to the place where they knew how to protect their culture. Creative inspired companies need to control their destiny. Fosters independent operation
-Jamdat was founded by people at Activision, sold to EA
-Pandemic was founded by people at Activision, sold to EA
-the really great products come from a team
-virtually all their studios are run by the original founders. Collaborative, driven, capable, ability to identify/recruit/retain other talented people, translate passion into products, people committed to excellence
-1983 he was 19 years old in his dorm room
-Zynga, Facebook games, there are some distribution platforms that allow for 2 guys in a dorm room
-first independent videogame competition, offer up to $500,000