Game Industry Collapse?

[firstadopter]

According to noted technology pundit John Dvorak, the game industry is about to collapse due to lack of innovation. He says that graphics have reached a level that improvements may not mattter, also that games are too hard to play now for casual players like himself.


I actually think he has a point that the next generation consoles won't be a big step-up in terms of revenue and sales. I think the graphics step function will NOT be as big this time as the PS2 and Xbox was. Moreover it seems most games are re-hashes of the same thing with better graphics. Boring. But are we going to see a collapse like the one after Atari 2600? Probably not. A brief pause will be more like it.



None of this will save a doomed industry. The business is going to attempt to sustain growth and creativity by making game players buy newer and newer machines. Computer gaming has always been sustained by never-ending improvements in resolution and realism. But once we get to photorealism, what is going to sustain growth?