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Electronic Arts (ERTS) December 2009 Q3 Warning

January 11th, 2010

Press Release
-Q3 29-33c (56c est), revenue $1.33-1.35B (1.42B est)
-FY2010 40-55c (79c est), revenue $4.125-4.2B (4.26B est)

Conference call
-Europe especially weak. -15% y/y vs. flat expectation
-forecasting flat to negative high single digits for overall industry packaged goods this year

Q&A
-fabulous title plan this year including Medal of Honor, Need for Speed, Sims for console, Fifa in a World Cup year, Dead Space 2, new Crysis game, MMA game
-distribution business will be sharply down this year
-major MMO launch (obviously Bioware Star Wars) for Spring 2011. Won’t include it in FY2011 guidance to be conservative
-CY2009 digital business had 25-30% growth. In Christmas quarter 25%
-very confident in Mass Effect 2 and Battlefield Bad Company 2 titles
-Pogo has 75% gross margin
-seeing strength in mobile, console DLC (Dragon Age)
-pricing didn’t play a role in December quarter. Retail competition for market-share drove volumes
-Europe had $90 million short-fall vs. their expectations

Net-net
-Bad December quarter was expected by any half-decent fundamental videogame analyst. Look at my prescient tweet (Link)
-March quarter title pipeline is strong. Pulling previous year sports game support for online multiplayer should drive demand for current year Madden


Categories: Blog
  1. January 12th, 2010 at 23:54 | #1

    Bioware is best developer of RPG i think I have played dragon age and its very very cool, so if bioware will make star wars it will be best RPG game ever made by bioware

  2. January 14th, 2010 at 09:47 | #2

    I agree. Star Wars MMO has a good shot of being successful with Bioware behind it.

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